This Remarkable Golden Spell Drives Aston Villa's Unlikely Title Charge
Just 60 days in the past that the Villa attacker was standing on the pitch at Sunderland, looking confused while his coach berated him over failing to anticipate a pass in behind. During that period, as the club endured a six-game winless run, it wasn't clear whether his performances were an indicator or the source of the side's broader struggles.
“Following Rogers' second strike… Emery discarded his jacket, extended his arms, and let out a triumphant roar.”
On Sunday, in contrast, the touchline reaction was entirely far more favourable. As Rogers curled home his brace-sealing goal to restore the lead for Villa, the boss ripped off his coat, spread his arms and roared. Villa were on their way to ten wins in a row and after failing to win their initial half-dozen fixtures, now sit only three points adrift of the leaders Arsenal.
Are They Genuine Title Contenders?
It remains an exceptionally difficult proposition to address. Past precedent, a general sense of this institution, suggests not. Furthermore, they've rarely been wholly dominant during this run, despite the fact the wins have stacked up.
According to Opta, on just two occasions has the team posted an xG significantly higher than the other team. For a side which has strung together 10 in a row, they look strangely fragile – however right now the margins are falling their way.
The Reliant Strategy
The prevailing tactic appears to be to exchange chances with an opponent before hoping their talisman to bail them out with two precise efforts. This was the case against Leeds, it happened in London, and it happened against Manchester United.
His opener originated from a brilliant finish, arced right inside the upright from the corner of the box. The follow-up goal was essentially a slightly less clean iteration of the opener as he pounced on a pass from Watkins.
“Rogers’ right foot is now akin to Robben’s legendary left: forewarned does not mean forearmed, and stopping him is another matter entirely.”
How Long Can This Continue?
Logic says not. During the latest victory, the opposition registered a greater number of attempts and more direct attempts. Villa have won each of their last eight by a single goal. The defence has been breached in nearly all of those games.
A statistical correction could be the biggest rival the club have to face over the coming weeks. Rogers, in all likelihood, will not continue to drilling the football into the top corner week in, week out.
Potential for Growth
Could it be another reality whereby, rather than luck running out, performances begin to trend towards results. Vital cogs could still rediscover their best form.
- The main striker could start adding to his goal tally.
- The attacking talent could transform into the player he resembled in Germany.
- Tyrone Mings and Pau Torres are due to return from injury, fortifying an occasionally vulnerable defensive unit.
This could contain the possibility of a genuine bid, however, it is improbable can persist in leaning entirely on Morgan Rogers.
Relishing the Unlikely
Yet, this was unforeseen. Few believed Villa would occupy in a Champions League place in December. And most definitely back in October, nobody thought the young forward as the year closed would be at the forefront of a championship pursuit while looking like an essential England player.
This winning streak should be enjoyed for the very reason that it feels so unlikely. When the match-winner positioned himself before the Villa faithful when the game ended conducting the cheers, he seemed to be thoroughly enjoying it. Which he fully merits. Such periods are rare in football and must be appreciated.